Big Brother 15 – Twas The Night Before The Finale

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It’s been a long, but very fun summer following Big Brother 15, and that is including all the shows flaws.  Was the cast perfect?  Not by a long shot.  Was there more sleeping than drama?  Without a doubt.  Did I constantly wonder what was happening inside the house?  Definitely!

Big Brother is like pizza, or sex… even a bad season is still pretty good.  No show can duplicate the addictive feature which are the live feeds. As boring as the show may be at times, it’s still fascinating to watch the live feeds all summer and see the little things that never make the air.  The conversations that are too boring for TV.  The pranks and jokes that can’t squeeze into an hour of the show.  The wonderful showmances that… wait, scratch that last one, those are pretty lame.

Since there isn’t a whole lot to talk about, I am going to talk about the chances of each person winning the game in a minute.  First, I want to mention that next year we will indeed be doing a log-in to comment system (without facebook), and I will add another moderator or two.  The site blew up in popularity, so I wasn’t remotely prepared to handle 100+ comments on each post.   Every year this blog gets better, and I expect no different for Big Brother 16!

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With that said, let’s talk about the finalists….

(note – for the stats, weeks on the block means either being nominated, or a re-nom.  Basically, a week where they sat in the nomination chair)

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GinaMarie Zimmerman

I have to be honest about this one, I did not see her making the finals when the show started.  On the first episode, she was loud, obnoxious and ‘in your face’ so I felt she was definitely going to be an early exit. Her voice may be like nails on a chalkboard, and her laugh sounds like she’s 80 years old, but she managed to be the least bitchy ‘mean girl’ and avoid the wrath of the house.

Stats:

  • Head of Households – 2
  • Power of Veto – 0
  • Weeks on the block – 3
  • Have Not – 3

Why she can win this season:

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What GinaMarie has going for her is the fact that 6 jury members are female, and they have been in the jury house long enough to potentially put aside any grudges they are holding.  In addition to the girls, she made good with Judd and McCrae before they left and has really done a solid job working the jury all season. Candice aside, I don’t see a jury member who really dislikes her.

She also has getting Amanda out on her resume, especially being the tiebreaker to send her to jury

Why she can lose this season:

For the same reason GinaMarie can win the season is also the reason she can possibly lose.  Not many people in the jury really dislike her, and that’s because she hasn’t had to make a whole lot of moves.  As mentioned, she got Amanda out of the house, but other than that, she’s basically just been ‘there’.  People may not completely respect her style of play and vote Andy or Spencer instead.

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spencer_clawson-thSpencer Clawson

Ahh Spencer (aka Adam Poch 2.0).  The king of all pawns.  The guy who can go from talking about Jessie’s butt to giving a shout-out to his girlfriend in the next breath. Spencer did not make many fans from the female audience this season due to his candid ‘locker room’ style talk that he probably should have toned down a bit. He floated his way to the final 3, and could easily find himself with a $50,000 check just because he’s the easier opponent to beat in the final 2.

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Stats:

  • Head of Households – 1
  • Power of Veto – 1
  • Weeks on the block – 8
  • Have Not – 1

Why he can win this season:

I don’t see many scenarios with Spencer winning this game, so I’m not even sure what to write here.  The only thing he has going for him would be the record amount of times he was nominated, but that would only win him the game if he were sitting next to his clone Adam Poch.

Why he can lose this season:

This one is pretty simple… Spencer is the biggest pawns in the history of the show and has done almost nothing other than that.  He won two competitions, and in any alliance he was part of, he generally was just an extra vote.   It’s hard to imagine him receiving more than 1 vote – if that – so he is almost guaranteed 2nd or 3rd place (2nd if GM or Andy are smart).

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andy_herren-thAndy Herren

When it comes to Big Brother fans, Andy is a mystery to me.  Out of the final 3, he’s the one who has said the least controversial things this season, and has actually played the game (whether you agree with his style or not).  Amanda took credit for a lot of early exits, but Andy was very instrumental as his role as the ‘snitch’.  While he is probably the biggest floater in the house, it was more of the Ian-style floating rather than Spencer.  His goal was to make good with everyone and get information wherever he could so he could report back to whoever his true allies were at the time.  I like to call it the trojan horse floater.  It’s a risky style, but if it works, it works well.

Stats:

  • Head of Households – 2
  • Power of Veto – 2
  • Weeks on the block – 1
  • Have Not – 3

Why he can win this season:

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If Andy is in the final 2, it should be an easy victory for him (note: SHOULD doesn’t mean it will be).  GinaMarie may have the blood on her hands from Amanda, but Andy is the guy behind her stabbing her in the back then running away into the bushes leaving GM to get caught. He betrayed just about every alliance he was part of and really set the flow of the house.  The brilliance of his game is when he admitted he placed an item of his in every room in the house so he could have an excuse to break up a conversation.

Floating may be frowned upon in the game, but that’s true floating.  When it’s used as a strategy, it’s pretty damn smart.  Risky, but smart…

Andy should win this season unless GinaMarie wins the final HoH and takes Spencer to the final 2.

Why he can lose this season:

He’s had such a good social game this season, I would be shocked if he makes the final 2 if he loses the HoH challenge.

If he makes the final 2 and loses, it’s because of a bitter jury.  He had far an away the better game than the other two people in the house, so this is a breakaway empty net shot with a potential bitter jury the only thing standing in his way of half a million dollars.

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There it is, this season is Andy’s to lose, and if anyone else walks away with half a million dollars, I’ll be pretty shocked.

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