Full disclosure: I like Becky. I think she’s smart, grounded, and a decent person. While my main goal as a Big Brother writer is to hope drama happens, my goal as a fan is to not have a douchebag win the season. That’s why I am so torn this week because Becky finally made a move – a good move at that – but the side she chose is weak. That is why Becky is getting the complete shaft by the group of people she decided to finally align with.
There is no denying that Becky has been on the fence all season, and basically floating along quietly. She likely could have eliminated one of James, Meg or Jackie and then snuck into a final 5 or something before the power alliance turned on her. Assuming they are not at each other’s throats which would allow her to slip into the final 3 (like a floater seems to do every season). However, Becky did something floaters of seasons past (Adam, Spencer, Victoria, etc) didn’t do… she made a big move. She tried to make her mark on the game and actually tried to pick up a resume builder should she sit in the final 2.
When you analyze the situation, Vanessa would have been walking out the door, and Becky would have been in a solid 5 (assuming she stuck with John). That makes for a 5 on 5, unless they can flip Steve for a 6 on 4. Austin, the whiners and Shelli would have been picked off and then the final 6 could have gone after each other with no clear favorite at that point (except for Steve’s intelligence, they’re all fairly equal). While there would be a bitter jury, that’s irrelevant if their entire alliance is sitting with them. They have to cast a vote, and as fans of the game, they’ll vote for who made the biggest moves.
But, Vanessa is not going out quietly, and James is an extremely impressionable player who believes the last thing he heard. Audrey told him the truth about the big alliance, and he was on board until he talked to Clay, and then he was against it. James was set on getting out Vanessa until she told him that Becky suggested he go up on the block sometime in the past few weeks. This planted the seed in James head which grew every day until last night when he confirmed to Vanessa he’d keep her, and told his alliance about it.
(side note: Becky suggested that because she was told James didn’t throw the botb which put her in danger of going home when she volunteered to be a pawn)
Now, Shelli will likely be walking out the door, and the dynamics of the house will dramatically change. Meg, James and Jackie turn into a 3 person alliance. Vanessa still has Austin, Steve, and the whiners. Then you have Becky and John as odd people out. Once Vanessa gets her revenge on Becky, she has the numbers and power to once again control the house and put her on track for winning the season regardless of who she’s sitting next to.
While my predictions are clearly simplified and don’t factor in any future twists, or curveballs (like one of the whiners winning HoH), it basically boils down to this. If Vanessa walks out this Thursday, it’s open season on the house. If Shelli walks out, Vanessa regains her power and cruises once again.[poll id=”3″]