Vince says that if Kelley wins BB, Ava would probably go home

Lauren says she doesn’t think Rachel would have the numbers in that case.
Let’s see – Need 4 votes to evict (Vinnie tiebreaker)

Ava v Rachel

Ava to go; Keanu, Ashley, Mickey?
Rachel to go: Katherine, Lauren, Morgan (if she’s really a good ally)

Vince would need to have Kelley or Will vote out Rachel for her to go. That’s a risk you take. Work the votes.